Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#136
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#123
Pace65.1#247
Improvement-2.1#275

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#134
First Shot+1.1#146
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#156
Layup/Dunks+4.6#27
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#220
Freethrows+0.1#170
Improvement-1.7#265

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#177
First Shot-0.5#175
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#117
Layups/Dunks-3.2#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#55
Freethrows-1.8#283
Improvement-0.4#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 167   @ North Dakota St. L 66-76 46%     0 - 1 -7.5 -4.2 -3.4
  Nov 17, 2016 62   Georgetown W 78-72 24%     1 - 1 +14.8 +14.7 +0.4
  Nov 19, 2016 254   @ Army W 60-57 66%     2 - 1 +0.1 -9.0 +9.3
  Nov 20, 2016 124   Chattanooga W 73-67 47%     3 - 1 +8.2 +13.1 -4.0
  Nov 22, 2016 313   SIU Edwardsville W 75-57 90%     4 - 1 +5.3 -1.8 +7.3
  Nov 27, 2016 133   Lehigh W 97-89 59%     5 - 1 +7.1 +16.3 -9.8
  Nov 30, 2016 245   Cleveland St. W 78-51 80%     6 - 1 +19.4 +12.8 +9.3
  Dec 03, 2016 37   @ TCU L 54-77 12%     6 - 2 -8.8 -6.6 -4.6
  Dec 14, 2016 211   @ Tennessee Martin W 87-68 58%     7 - 2 +18.5 +16.3 +3.2
  Dec 16, 2016 314   @ Central Arkansas W 89-77 81%     8 - 2 +4.3 -0.1 +3.3
  Dec 21, 2016 52   Alabama L 52-67 20%     8 - 3 -4.7 -8.0 +2.1
  Dec 23, 2016 32   @ Minnesota L 75-82 10%     8 - 4 +8.2 +8.4 +0.2
  Dec 31, 2016 151   Louisiana W 74-71 63%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +1.1 +2.7 -1.3
  Jan 02, 2017 260   Louisiana Monroe W 76-45 82%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +22.7 +10.6 +15.9
  Jan 07, 2017 201   @ Coastal Carolina L 65-80 54%     10 - 5 2 - 1 -14.7 -2.4 -13.3
  Jan 09, 2017 272   @ Appalachian St. L 57-70 71%     10 - 6 2 - 2 -17.2 -14.5 -3.5
  Jan 14, 2017 235   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 77-72 63%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +2.9 +6.4 -3.5
  Jan 21, 2017 129   Troy W 82-80 58%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +1.3 +19.1 -17.5
  Jan 23, 2017 241   South Alabama W 74-62 80%     13 - 6 5 - 2 +4.6 +5.4 +0.2
  Jan 28, 2017 260   @ Louisiana Monroe W 73-63 67%     14 - 6 6 - 2 +6.8 +7.3 +0.4
  Jan 30, 2017 151   @ Louisiana W 88-69 43%     15 - 6 7 - 2 +22.2 +7.1 +14.0
  Feb 04, 2017 272   Appalachian St. W 79-78 84%     16 - 6 8 - 2 -8.3 -1.3 -7.0
  Feb 06, 2017 201   Coastal Carolina W 67-57 72%     17 - 6 9 - 2 +5.2 -2.1 +8.2
  Feb 11, 2017 81   @ Texas Arlington L 75-81 24%     17 - 7 9 - 3 +2.7 +9.3 -6.8
  Feb 13, 2017 174   @ Texas St. L 58-62 47%     17 - 8 9 - 4 -1.8 -4.1 +1.8
  Feb 17, 2017 235   Arkansas Little Rock W 67-58 79%     18 - 8 10 - 4 +1.8 +4.3 -0.9
  Feb 25, 2017 181   Georgia Southern L 60-72 68%     18 - 9 10 - 5 -15.3 -13.4 -2.5
  Feb 27, 2017 128   Georgia St. W 78-67 58%     19 - 9 11 - 5 +10.4 +12.5 -1.1
  Mar 02, 2017 129   @ Troy L 72-81 39%     19 - 10 11 - 6 -4.7 -4.9 +0.7
  Mar 04, 2017 241   @ South Alabama L 70-73 64%     19 - 11 11 - 7 -5.4 +8.5 -14.3
  Mar 08, 2017 260   Louisiana Monroe L 70-73 OT 75%     19 - 12 -8.8 -2.3 -6.5
Projected Record 19.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%